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DTN Midday Grain Comments 08/14 10:46
Corn, Soybean, Wheat Futures All Higher at Midday Friday
Corn futures are 7 to 8 cents higher at midday Friday; soybean futures are 4
to 5 cents higher; wheat futures are 16 to 31 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 7 to 8 cents higher at midday Friday; soybean futures are 4
to 5 cents higher; wheat futures are 16 to 31 cents higher. The U.S. stock
market is weaker at midday with the S&P 15 points lower. The U.S. Dollar Index
is 40 points lower. The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade is
firmer with crude up .35 and natural gas .05 cents higher. Livestock trade is
broadly lower with cattle the downside leader. Precious metals are firmer with
gold up 25.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 7 to 8 cents higher at midday with broad strength across
grains overnight as we push back toward the top end of the range after the
Thursday pullback with wheat providing the most spillover. Ethanol margins look
to remain strong nearby but summer driving season winding down will likely add
some demand pressure. Weather looks to keep the Central and Eastern Corn Belt
wetter with temps holding a bit above normal into midmonth. Basis will likely
drift lower except for the west in the short term. On the September chart, the
20-day moving average at $4.48 has become support with the Upper Bollinger band
at $4.66 as resistance.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 4 to 5 cents higher at midday with trade grinding back
toward nearby resistance with solid spread action and meal leading the product
side. Meal is 1.50 to 2.50 higher and oil is 10 to 20 points higher. Basis has
continued to hold up well as we draw nearer to harvest. Weather looks to keep
stress south into midmonth with better moisture for much of the belt in the
short term. The daily export wire saw 136,000 metric tons sold to China for
new-crop, continuing the recent activity. On the September contract, chart
resistance is the 20-day moving average at $11.84 with support the Lower
Bollinger Band at $11.30.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 16 to 31 cents higher at midday with trade again trying to
pull away from nearby resistance levels with KC action leading so far as we
continue to add Black Sea premium in. Spring wheat areas should see harvest
expand further as we get closer to the halfway point. Matif wheat is sharply
firmer as well despite the firmer euro. On the KC September chart, resistance
is the 20-day moving average at $7.22, which we were back above overnight, with
the $7.00 area as support, which we held earlier in the week.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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