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DTN Midday Grain Comments 07/15 11:00
Corn, Soybean, Wheat Futures All Higher at Midday Wednesday
Corn futures are 8 to 9 cents higher at midday Wednesday; soybean futures
are 7 to 8 cents higher; wheat futures are 23 to 41 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 8 to 9 cents higher at midday Wednesday; soybean futures
are 7 to 8 cents higher; wheat futures are 23 to 41 cents higher. The U.S.
stock market is firmer at midday with the S&P 18 points higher. The U.S. Dollar
Index is 20 points lower. The interest rate products are firmer. Energy trade
is weaker with crude off .80 and natural gas .01 lower. Livestock trade is
mostly lower with hogs leading. Precious metals are weaker with gold off 17.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 8 to 9 cents higher at midday with trade pressing back to
the upper end of the range as Black Sea events help push world feed grain
prices with wheat providing the most action. The weekly ethanol report showed
production down by 53,000 barrels per day with stocks up by 500,000 barrels.
Weekly export sales are expected to be in the 500,000 to 750,000 metric ton
(mt) range between crop years. Weather is expected to remain warmer than normal
and drier than normal for most in the short term with the hottest forecast
moderating into next week. On the September chart, the 20-day moving average at
$4.27 3/4 is support with the upper Bollinger Band at $4.48 as resistance.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 7 to 8 cents higher at midday with trade struggling to
extend the upper end of the recent range with meal leading product action. Meal
is 2.00 to 3.00 higher and oil is 45 to 55 points lower. Basis should stay flat
with crush margins drifting sideways. Weather looks to add a bit of short-term
stress with warmth and less rain for much of the Soybean Belt this week with
the second week better for most. Weekly export sales are expected to be in the
1.0 million metric ton (mmt) to 1.2 mmt range between product years Thursday.
On the September contract, chart support is the 20-day moving average at $11.51
with the Upper Bollinger Band at $12.02 as resistance.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 23 to 41 cents higher with renewed attacks in the Sea of
Azov helping induce further buying as the shorter crops elsewhere add support
and we reapproach the May highs. Harvest should continue to roll forth on
winter wheat as we head to the homestretch; spring wheat is likely moving along
quickly with the short-term heat. Matif wheat is sharply higher along with E.U.
corn. Weekly export sales are expected to be in the 150,000 to 300,000 mt range
Thursday. On the KC September chart, support is the 20-day moving average at
$6.46 with the fresh high for the move at $7.22 as resistance.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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